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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.16+0.70vs Predicted
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2Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43+3.88vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-2.54+1.75vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.04vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-3.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.12-2.86vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-2.52-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Syracuse University-0.160.6%1st Place
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5.88Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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4.75Penn State Behrend-2.540.1%1st Place
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3.96Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
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2.97Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 56.4% | 25.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Orefice | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 53.0% |
| Meredith Sander | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 24.7% | 16.3% |
| Andrew Hoover | 7.9% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 14.8% | 29.6% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Headrick | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 9.1% |
| Stephen Turocy | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.