← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-0.16+0.73vs Predicted
-
2Mercyhurst University-1.98+1.91vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-0.05vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy-2.12+0.16vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43+0.93vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-2.52-2.29vs Predicted
-
8Penn State Behrend-2.54-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.73Syracuse University-0.160.5%1st Place
-
3.91Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
-
2.95Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.2%1st Place
-
4.16U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.93Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
-
4.71University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
-
4.61Penn State Behrend-2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 54.6% | 27.0% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Hoover | 8.3% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 5.8% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 16.1% | 27.6% | 24.8% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Headrick | 7.3% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Orefice | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 54.9% |
| Stephen Turocy | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| Meredith Sander | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 25.1% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.