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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+1.92vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16-0.31vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University-1.98+0.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.12+0.08vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-2.77-0.95vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-2.52-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.2%1st Place
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1.69Syracuse University-0.160.6%1st Place
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3.86Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
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5.05Penn State Behrend-2.770.0%1st Place
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5.87Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Wilson | 18.8% | 27.1% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 55.0% | 28.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hoover | 8.9% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.5% |
| Chloe Headrick | 7.2% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 6.8% |
| Petar Dotchev | 3.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 24.1% | 23.1% |
| Alexander Orefice | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 51.0% |
| Stephen Turocy | 5.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 23.6% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.