Race 5B

gavin

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jillian Giordano 3.3% 9.6% 11.4% 13.0% 13.1% 14.9% 14.2% 11.1% 7.6% 1.8%
Nick Myneni 68.8% 22.2% 6.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Sorbie 8.1% 21.9% 21.1% 18.4% 13.7% 8.7% 5.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2%
George Prokop 2.9% 6.8% 10.6% 10.8% 13.7% 12.6% 12.8% 13.7% 12.7% 3.6%
Hannah Monville 4.2% 9.5% 10.7% 13.1% 13.2% 13.1% 14.9% 11.7% 7.8% 1.9%
Nathaniel Bacheller 2.9% 7.0% 8.7% 10.3% 12.8% 13.2% 14.2% 14.7% 11.9% 4.3%
Astrid Myhre 5.8% 15.2% 18.9% 18.3% 14.3% 12.9% 7.0% 5.0% 1.9% 0.7%
Leo Barch 1.9% 3.5% 5.3% 6.8% 8.9% 11.3% 13.7% 17.2% 21.3% 10.1%
Alex Schlotterer 1.7% 3.9% 4.8% 5.5% 7.4% 9.1% 13.3% 16.7% 23.6% 14.1%
Adam Bryan 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 4.3% 4.5% 7.8% 12.7% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.