Race 4A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Greenfield 14.5% 16.7% 12.8% 12.5% 11.8% 7.4% 7.5% 6.1% 4.4% 2.7% 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Andrew Kurzrok 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 6.0% 7.8% 6.0% 6.9% 8.7% 7.1% 10.9% 10.0% 8.7% 8.3% 5.6%
Samuel Ingham 27.9% 19.1% 15.8% 13.7% 8.8% 5.4% 5.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christian Manchester 9.7% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 12.2% 11.3% 8.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.1% 4.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Elizabeth Barry 9.2% 10.0% 13.0% 11.9% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 8.3% 5.8% 5.5% 2.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.6%
Matthew Schon 6.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 9.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.7% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 5.9% 4.8% 1.2%
Quentin Chafee 6.3% 6.9% 6.7% 7.9% 7.6% 9.2% 10.2% 7.8% 8.2% 7.9% 9.1% 5.9% 3.9% 2.4%
Conor Lodge 4.9% 4.6% 5.6% 6.5% 5.0% 7.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.4% 10.0% 8.7% 8.2% 9.0% 6.3%
Reeve Dunne 3.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 5.7% 4.2% 8.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% 12.6% 13.9% 11.4%
Billy Hines 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 3.4% 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 8.5% 7.4% 9.1% 10.5% 14.8% 16.9%
Christopher Poole 3.6% 4.7% 3.7% 5.7% 6.7% 6.8% 8.3% 7.7% 10.7% 9.9% 8.5% 9.3% 6.3% 8.1%
Graham Philpot 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 9.6% 11.2% 15.1% 31.4%
Will Pelleteri 3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.1% 6.8% 6.1% 8.5% 10.2% 8.8% 10.0% 9.3% 10.4% 9.7%
Peter Giuliano 3.0% 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 6.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 7.1% 9.8% 9.9% 12.5% 11.4% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.