Race 7B

ri-state-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Matthew Schon 9.6% 11.5% 11.1% 9.4% 9.1% 9.9% 7.9% 7.5% 6.0% 5.7% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Kevin Martland 16.6% 15.5% 12.7% 11.2% 10.8% 8.9% 6.1% 6.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 11.8% 8.8% 12.0% 8.6% 11.2% 8.7% 9.3% 8.8% 6.3% 4.6% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Daniel Perkins 12.7% 14.2% 11.4% 12.2% 9.4% 9.6% 7.1% 6.3% 5.7% 5.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Rian Bareuther 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 7.9% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.7% 8.3% 6.8% 8.1% 6.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
T. Max Bulger 5.0% 3.9% 6.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.8% 8.5% 6.0% 8.5% 7.7% 8.5% 7.1% 5.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
D.J. Hatch 9.9% 9.5% 8.0% 9.6% 9.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.0% 7.6% 6.6% 5.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sky Adams 6.6% 6.6% 8.0% 6.9% 6.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.9% 8.5% 8.3% 8.0% 7.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Matthew Paige 4.2% 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 8.9% 7.6% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2%
Andrew Moakes 5.1% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.2% 5.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 11.7% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 4.2% 4.0% 0.9%
Bryan Lilley 1.9% 2.6% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 5.9% 8.1% 10.1% 14.9% 18.2% 15.8%
Justin Marks 1.8% 2.0% 3.2% 2.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 4.8% 5.3% 7.7% 9.2% 11.3% 13.0% 12.9% 11.3%
Nick Belsito 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 0.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 5.4% 8.8% 12.1% 20.5% 32.0%
Bianca Dragone 2.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.3% 2.4% 3.6% 5.2% 5.4% 5.5% 6.5% 8.7% 9.4% 13.2% 11.6% 10.8% 6.9%
Vincent Marchetto 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 4.9% 6.0% 6.2% 5.5% 7.3% 6.9% 9.1% 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4%
Hadley Neale 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 2.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 3.9% 5.9% 9.8% 13.1% 20.1% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.