← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-1.23+1.59vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+0.63vs Predicted
-
4Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.26vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-2.12-1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-2.52-1.45vs Predicted
-
7Penn State Behrend-2.77-2.12vs Predicted
-
8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.59Syracuse University-1.230.3%1st Place
-
2.63Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.3%1st Place
-
3.74Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
-
3.93U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.55University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
-
4.88Penn State Behrend-2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.68Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Palanza | 31.6% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 27.7% | 26.3% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Hoover | 12.3% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Headrick | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 6.6% |
| Stephen Turocy | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 15.0% |
| Petar Dotchev | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 21.8% |
| Alexander Orefice | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.