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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+1.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy-2.12+1.87vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.23-0.43vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend-2.77+0.94vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.98-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.52-2.47vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.3%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Military Academy-2.120.1%1st Place
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2.57Syracuse University-1.230.3%1st Place
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4.94Penn State Behrend-2.770.1%1st Place
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3.76Mercyhurst University-1.980.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
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5.67Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Wilson | 28.7% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Headrick | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 6.5% |
| Christian Palanza | 31.2% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Petar Dotchev | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 25.9% | 21.9% |
| Andrew Hoover | 11.8% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% |
| Stephen Turocy | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 14.8% |
| Alexander Orefice | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.