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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+0.74vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-2.27+4.23vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.61-0.88vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.53+0.76vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97-1.07vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.16-0.14vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.27-0.94vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.37-1.82vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-3.81-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Notre Dame1.040.5%1st Place
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6.23Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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2.12Purdue University0.610.3%1st Place
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4.76Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.93Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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5.86Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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6.06Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.18Ohio State University-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.13Ohio University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 49.4% | 33.7% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 9.2% |
| Rishab Nayar | 32.6% | 35.5% | 22.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 3.9% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Martin Moore | 6.7% | 12.9% | 25.0% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Wenk | 1.9% | 2.4% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 5.9% |
| Justin Edick | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 6.8% |
| Miranda Mottice | 2.0% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 22.4% | 10.4% |
| Katie Sanford | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.