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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+0.72vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.61+0.17vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.97+1.02vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-2.37+2.15vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53-0.22vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.27+0.08vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.16-1.11vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.27-1.93vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-3.81-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Notre Dame1.040.5%1st Place
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2.17Purdue University0.610.3%1st Place
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4.02Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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6.15Ohio State University-2.370.0%1st Place
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4.78Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.08Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.89Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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6.07Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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8.13Ohio University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 52.0% | 30.5% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rishab Nayar | 30.3% | 38.6% | 19.4% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Moore | 6.5% | 10.6% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Mottice | 1.5% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 9.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 4.0% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 7.2% |
| Andrew Wenk | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 6.2% |
| Justin Edick | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 9.3% |
| Katie Sanford | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.