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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+3.85vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.39+3.66vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+1.56vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.25+2.24vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.31+0.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+1.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.76-0.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.59-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.42+1.12vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.84-1.25vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.53-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.71-2.82vs Predicted
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16Amherst College0.92-2.74vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.05-3.88vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.41-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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4.56Connecticut College3.780.2%1st Place
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6.24Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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5.93Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Connecticut1.420.0%1st Place
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10.75Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.18University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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13.26Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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13.12Maine Maritime Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 16.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schon | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Rian Bareuther | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Moakes | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Bryan Lilley | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 14.9% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Justin Marks | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
| Nick Belsito | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 32.2% |
| Hadley Neale | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 29.4% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.