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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+0.77vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.53+3.19vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.27+3.23vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.61-1.90vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97-0.98vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.56-1.03vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.27-0.78vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.37-1.69vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-3.81-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Notre Dame1.040.5%1st Place
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5.19Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.23Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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2.1Purdue University0.610.3%1st Place
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4.02Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.97Miami University-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.22Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.31Ohio State University-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.18Ohio University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 49.9% | 30.3% | 14.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.6% | 3.9% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 1.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 21.8% | 8.3% |
| Rishab Nayar | 32.6% | 38.0% | 19.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Moore | 6.8% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Chase Clark | 3.4% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Justin Edick | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 8.6% |
| Miranda Mottice | 1.8% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 10.7% |
| Katie Sanford | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 13.2% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.