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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.04+1.97vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.05-0.21vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.32+0.48vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-2.17+0.82vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.03-0.45vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.72-0.40vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-2.80-1.21vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-3.84-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Notre Dame-1.040.2%1st Place
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1.79Ohio State University0.050.5%1st Place
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3.48Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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4.82Michigan State University-2.170.0%1st Place
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4.55Miami University-2.030.1%1st Place
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5.6Ohio State University-2.720.0%1st Place
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5.79Ohio University-2.800.0%1st Place
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7.01Purdue University-3.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kennedy | 18.8% | 25.4% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Tony Prenger | 50.9% | 27.9% | 14.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 12.7% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Baird | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 5.2% |
| Jacob Maher | 5.7% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Casey Schomer | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 15.5% |
| Jamie Christie | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 24.5% | 18.9% |
| Heather Craker | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 21.4% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.