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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University0.36+4.99vs Predicted
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3Auburn University1.12+2.12vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+0.37vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.85-0.85vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.40-2.62vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.29-3.51vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99American University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.12Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.37Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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4.15Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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3.49Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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1.51College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 56.2% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.9% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 27.3% | 23.6% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 5.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 7.8% |
| Alexander Smolka | 6.0% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 7.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.2% | 21.9% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 8.9% | 21.6% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 64.6% | 24.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.