← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.17+3.73vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.35+2.28vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.33+1.35vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.84vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.83vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.06+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University0.72-0.88vs Predicted
-
8Washington College0.23-0.64vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.35vs Predicted
-
10University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.17vs Predicted
-
12Monmouth University-0.85-1.29vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University-0.94-1.98vs Predicted
-
14University of Delaware-0.86-3.20vs Predicted
-
15Rutgers University-1.80-1.86vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-1.88-2.52vs Predicted
-
17Ocean County College-1.68-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
4.28Fordham University1.350.2%1st Place
-
4.35Webb Institute1.330.2%1st Place
-
4.84Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.83SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
8.49Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
6.12Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
-
7.36Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
-
7.65University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
-
10.17University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.71Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
-
11.02Drexel University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
-
13.14Rutgers University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
13.48Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
-
13.04Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 17.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Miller | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Weiner | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Merrill | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Paige Propp | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Ian Walczak | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 26.4% |
| victor lu | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 31.2% |
| River Dixon | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.