← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College0.23+6.33vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.17+2.73vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.33+1.36vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.91vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.35-0.72vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University0.72+0.09vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.11vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania0.15-0.39vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University-0.85+0.71vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech-0.06-2.50vs Predicted
-
12Rutgers University-1.80+1.19vs Predicted
-
13University of Pittsburgh-0.62-2.91vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.94-2.95vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-1.88-1.69vs Predicted
-
16University of Delaware-0.86-5.09vs Predicted
-
17Ocean County College-1.68-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.33Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
4.73Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
4.36Webb Institute1.330.2%1st Place
-
5.91SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.28Fordham University1.350.2%1st Place
-
6.09Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
-
4.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.61University of Pennsylvania0.150.1%1st Place
-
10.71Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
-
8.5Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
13.19Rutgers University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
10.09University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
-
11.05Drexel University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
13.31Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
-
13.03Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vernon | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.3% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 16.5% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 15.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 8.8% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Weiner | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Walczak | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 26.8% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Paige Propp | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| victor lu | 0.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 28.6% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% |
| River Dixon | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.