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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+3.81vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.30vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.39vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72+2.82vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.35-0.17vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.72+0.77vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.15-1.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.63vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.51vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.85-0.72vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-0.45-2.79vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.84-0.35vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.86-3.72vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College-1.68-2.60vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Webb Institute1.330.1%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.39Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.82Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.83Fordham University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.77Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.47Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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8.12Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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11.28Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Pittsburgh-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.65Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.4Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.82Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Balanevsky | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Brady | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Weiner | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 29.8% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| River Dixon | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 23.9% | 24.4% |
| victor lu | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.