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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+3.67vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.33+2.33vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.81vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.35-0.58vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.18vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.72-0.90vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.23-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.15-2.34vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-2.55vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.94-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.86-2.18vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.85-3.24vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.80-1.86vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College-1.68-2.93vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.33Webb Institute1.330.2%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.42Fordham University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.82Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.1Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.53Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Pennsylvania0.150.1%1st Place
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8.45Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.96Drexel University-0.940.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.76Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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13.14Rutgers University-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.07Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.47Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 17.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Jenna Weiner | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Gibson | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Paige Propp | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Ian Walczak | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 25.9% |
| River Dixon | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 23.7% |
| victor lu | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.