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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.35+3.26vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+6.29vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+1.79vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.15+2.77vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.62+3.13vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.33-3.71vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.94+1.96vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-2.46vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.72-4.97vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.85-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.86-3.23vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.80-1.84vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College-1.68-2.94vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Fordham University1.350.2%1st Place
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8.29Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.79Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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4.85Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.29Webb Institute1.330.2%1st Place
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10.96Drexel University-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.54Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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6.03Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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10.74Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.16Rutgers University-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.06Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.42Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Balanevsky | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 14.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Weiner | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Zane Tinnell | 16.6% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Propp | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Miller | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Ian Walczak | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 26.2% |
| River Dixon | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 24.2% |
| victor lu | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.