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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+3.44vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+2.96vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.02vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26+3.71vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.17-0.02vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.35-1.45vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.62+3.27vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.10vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.94+2.05vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-2.30vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-1.88+2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.15-4.09vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.85-2.13vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.86-3.19vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.80-1.69vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College-1.68-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Webb Institute1.330.2%1st Place
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4.96Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.71Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.55Fordham University1.350.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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11.05Drexel University-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.7Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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13.42Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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10.87Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.31Rutgers University-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.11Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Propp | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| victor lu | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 31.8% |
| Jenna Weiner | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Ian Walczak | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 26.9% |
| River Dixon | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.