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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.93vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.15+4.01vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15+0.03vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.68+7.07vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.23+0.73vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.35-3.61vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.26-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.25vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.33-6.52vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.85-1.14vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.86-2.12vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-0.63vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.94-3.74vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.80-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.99SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.91Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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5.03Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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13.07Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.73Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.39Fordham University1.350.2%1st Place
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7.47Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.48Webb Institute1.330.2%1st Place
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10.86Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.37Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.26Drexel University-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.36Rutgers University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Weiner | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Brady | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 23.4% |
| Andrew Vernon | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Merrill | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Zane Tinnell | 16.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| victor lu | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 28.6% |
| Paige Propp | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Ian Walczak | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.