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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.85vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.51vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+7.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.25+4.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+1.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+8.07vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53+0.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.02vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.49+0.73vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-2.93vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.38-6.41vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.39-7.22vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-6.03vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-4.76vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.89George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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14.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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12.24George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.78Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 31.5% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| William Logue | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.