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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+6.52vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.49vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+7.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+2.79vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.73vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+2.90vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-1.91vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.38-1.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.70vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.33vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-4.11vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-2.91vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.69-9.30vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.49-5.29vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.96George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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9.9Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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14.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.89Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.09George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.7Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.71George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.77Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| William Logue | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 35.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.