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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+0.51vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.29+0.42vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+0.45vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.85-0.85vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.40-2.60vs Predicted
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7Auburn University1.12-1.88vs Predicted
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8American University0.36-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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3.42Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.45Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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4.15Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.4College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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5.12Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.95American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 63.8% | 25.1% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 10.4% | 20.9% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 5.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 10.2% |
| Alexander Smolka | 5.3% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 7.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 9.7% | 23.7% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 28.0% | 22.7% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.