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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.72+9.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+6.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+3.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+2.07vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53+2.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.71vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.43vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14+3.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.23vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.89-0.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.25-3.20vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.38-5.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-6.10vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-4.86vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.84vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-4.72vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.49-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.86George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.96Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.04Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.28George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.37George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| William Logue | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| JC Hermus | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Connor Bayless | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 31.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.