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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+5.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+4.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+3.75vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.72+5.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25+2.42vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.12vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89+0.95vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.53-2.46vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.28vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14+1.24vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-3.45vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-2.21vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-4.85vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.49-4.36vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.60vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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13.24Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.64George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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13.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| William Logue | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 22.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.