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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+5.46vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+8.32vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+4.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+4.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.72+5.66vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.70vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.82vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+4.13vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.38-1.16vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.49+1.91vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.17vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-1.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.25-4.66vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.89vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.39-7.11vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-2.77vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.7Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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12.13George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.71Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.23Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| William Logue | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 22.9% |
| Joshua Paper | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.