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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+7.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+5.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.70vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+2.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25+2.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.04vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+2.68vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.43vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.06vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-0.50vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35+0.64vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-3.12vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.49-2.67vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.64vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.81-9.73vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.44vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.5Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.64George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.33George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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12.91Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 19.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% |
| Joshua Paper | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.