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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+9.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.30+6.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+3.38vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+3.26vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.57vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.36vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49+4.74vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-0.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35+3.26vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.11vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72-0.17vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-1.54vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.69-6.40vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.38-6.34vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.70vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-2.84vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-6.55vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.25-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.74George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.85Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.26George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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13.16Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.45Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% |
| William Logue | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Paper | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 22.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.