Race 1A

hatch-brown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Carter Pemberton 5.6% 5.2% 5.1% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 6.4% 5.8% 5.0% 4.9% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 6.2% 3.4%
Shawn Harvey 14.6% 11.5% 12.4% 11.7% 10.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.5% 5.0% 4.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack McGraw 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 5.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 8.2% 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 7.0% 4.2% 3.1%
Cameron Holley 7.0% 7.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.5% 6.6% 5.2% 8.2% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.1% 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 3.4% 1.3%
Brendan Read 4.1% 6.0% 5.1% 4.8% 3.9% 5.2% 4.7% 7.2% 6.5% 6.8% 5.7% 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 4.5%
Matthew Kaplan 8.9% 8.3% 9.4% 8.1% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 6.8% 7.3% 4.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.0% 2.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.5%
Wade Waddell 7.7% 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 8.9% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 5.6% 4.3% 3.5% 3.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Emily Haig 8.3% 6.4% 8.9% 9.0% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 4.6% 5.0% 4.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Robby Gearon 3.9% 5.8% 5.3% 4.5% 5.0% 7.3% 6.1% 6.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 7.1% 5.8% 4.9% 3.1%
Nathan Housberg 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 6.1% 4.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.3% 9.4% 12.9% 14.4%
Conner Harding 6.8% 6.0% 7.1% 6.1% 7.4% 6.9% 7.4% 5.6% 5.7% 7.7% 6.2% 5.6% 6.4% 6.5% 4.1% 3.6% 0.9%
Cameron Nash 2.4% 2.4% 2.1% 3.6% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 4.8% 4.7% 6.4% 6.7% 9.0% 10.0% 13.6% 14.9%
Trevor Long 8.1% 8.3% 5.5% 7.9% 8.3% 7.2% 7.8% 6.3% 7.8% 6.7% 7.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.7% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1%
Mack Fox 6.4% 6.6% 6.1% 7.8% 7.2% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 5.4% 9.0% 5.4% 8.9% 5.0% 5.6% 4.1% 3.2% 0.8%
Kyle Riggs 2.5% 3.0% 3.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.0% 5.3% 8.0% 8.1% 12.1% 11.8% 12.4%
Joey Lark 1.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 2.3% 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 5.9% 9.0% 16.0% 37.0%
Eli Burnes 4.7% 7.2% 7.2% 6.4% 5.9% 5.6% 6.7% 6.3% 7.2% 5.3% 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 4.6% 5.5% 4.5% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.