Race 2A

hatch-brown

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Wade Waddell 9.2% 8.2% 7.5% 7.7% 6.6% 7.9% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.2% 6.1% 5.6% 5.2% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 0.3%
Jack McGraw 6.0% 6.0% 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 5.6% 5.9% 7.1% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 7.0% 6.5% 6.1% 5.0% 2.0%
Emily Haig 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 7.5% 6.9% 5.8% 7.1% 5.8% 7.4% 6.3% 5.7% 5.4% 3.4% 2.3% 0.9%
Conner Harding 7.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.9% 4.9% 6.5% 7.9% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 3.3% 2.7% 1.4%
Kyle Riggs 1.9% 3.3% 3.7% 3.5% 4.1% 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.4% 6.8% 6.2% 6.7% 9.1% 11.3% 11.5% 11.5%
Brendan Read 3.9% 4.3% 3.5% 4.1% 6.1% 4.2% 6.0% 5.9% 5.4% 6.4% 7.8% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 4.5%
Cameron Holley 6.8% 6.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.7% 7.5% 7.2% 8.3% 6.5% 5.9% 6.6% 5.9% 4.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3%
Matthew Kaplan 10.3% 10.9% 9.2% 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 7.5% 5.8% 7.1% 6.3% 5.1% 3.9% 4.4% 2.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Shawn Harvey 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 10.8% 11.1% 7.3% 7.0% 6.0% 4.9% 6.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Eli Burnes 5.9% 6.0% 6.7% 7.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.7% 5.4% 7.2% 6.2% 6.8% 4.6% 4.7% 3.5% 1.6%
Joey Lark 1.8% 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 4.4% 5.7% 7.0% 8.4% 15.0% 38.5%
Carter Pemberton 4.2% 4.6% 6.1% 4.9% 5.4% 4.8% 5.6% 5.1% 5.5% 7.2% 6.7% 6.4% 7.1% 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 4.1%
Trevor Long 7.9% 8.6% 5.5% 6.8% 8.5% 8.0% 7.2% 7.4% 6.5% 7.4% 5.3% 5.5% 4.8% 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.2%
Nathan Housberg 2.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 4.1% 3.6% 4.7% 4.4% 6.0% 6.5% 8.8% 12.4% 15.4% 13.8%
Robby Gearon 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.6% 5.1% 5.1% 6.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 5.7% 4.9% 2.6%
Mack Fox 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 6.3% 7.3% 7.7% 6.0% 8.2% 6.6% 7.1% 5.7% 7.8% 4.7% 5.5% 3.9% 2.2% 2.0%
Cameron Nash 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 11.2% 14.8% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.