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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+5.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+6.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+3.85vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+2.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.73vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50+1.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.75-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-2.00vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-4.03vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.90-4.95vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-6.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-5.19vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.66-3.24vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.10-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.37Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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14.35Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Preston Duclos | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Christian Filter | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.