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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+0.52vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+1.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.40+0.34vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+0.46vs Predicted
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5Auburn University1.12+0.15vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.85-1.89vs Predicted
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7American University0.36-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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3.46Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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5.15Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.11Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.97American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 64.5% | 24.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 10.5% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Carly Shevitz | 9.6% | 24.3% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 3.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 9.5% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 29.0% | 23.1% |
| Alexander Smolka | 6.5% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.