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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.09+5.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+5.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+4.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+4.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+1.83vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-1.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.43vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-1.95vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-3.47vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.50-3.30vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-6.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-5.24vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-1.60vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.66-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.7Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.4Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 45.8% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.