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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+7.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+5.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+4.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+6.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90+2.80vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+3.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90+0.93vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75-0.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-2.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.30vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10+1.35vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-7.01vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-2.38vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.50-6.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.8Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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14.35Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.61Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Preston Duclos | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Christian Filter | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 46.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.