Race 1C

hatch-brown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Matt Safford 7.7% 6.9% 8.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 7.1% 5.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Cole Harris 12.1% 10.9% 10.7% 10.9% 8.7% 8.6% 6.8% 8.8% 5.3% 4.4% 3.7% 4.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Moran 6.1% 5.3% 6.8% 8.7% 5.5% 7.2% 6.6% 6.3% 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.2% 6.6% 5.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Thomas Walden 6.0% 7.1% 5.8% 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 6.3% 6.4% 6.2% 7.3% 6.4% 7.7% 6.7% 7.0% 4.6% 5.0% 1.1%
Henry Burnes 7.9% 9.0% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 6.9% 6.4% 8.2% 6.0% 6.5% 5.5% 4.9% 3.6% 5.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
Michael O'Flaherty 4.3% 3.6% 4.0% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.8% 5.2% 3.9% 7.2% 8.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.2% 7.6% 3.9%
Kaila Pfrang 4.1% 4.2% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 3.7% 4.4% 5.0% 5.4% 8.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 9.6% 8.7% 3.4%
Dylan DiMarchi 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 7.1% 5.6% 6.8% 6.4% 7.2% 6.3% 4.8% 5.5% 5.9% 5.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Kyle Dochoda 4.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.1% 7.6% 7.5% 5.6% 7.6% 6.2% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 7.5% 6.1% 4.4% 1.4%
Carolyn Corbet 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 5.0% 5.5% 7.5% 8.4% 7.8% 11.3% 13.5% 9.4%
Thomas Harden 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 7.0% 6.5% 8.7% 5.8% 4.1% 7.9% 7.2% 6.6% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Darden Purrington 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 2.6% 3.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 6.5% 6.2% 10.8% 19.1% 23.7%
Jack Bitney 7.3% 7.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 6.2% 7.4% 6.0% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 3.1% 0.9%
Jack Murphy 9.3% 7.9% 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 6.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 6.3% 6.0% 5.1% 4.5% 3.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Thomas Whittemore 7.6% 9.0% 6.8% 6.3% 8.1% 6.4% 5.2% 6.7% 8.4% 5.7% 7.6% 5.6% 6.0% 3.6% 4.1% 2.2% 0.7%
John Ped 3.4% 3.6% 5.1% 5.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 5.9% 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% 3.5%
Allison DeLuca 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 4.5% 4.3% 8.5% 15.8% 48.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.