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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.65+7.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.30+3.73vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+7.11vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.82+7.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+2.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+1.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59+1.61vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.82-2.49vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.60-2.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.75-4.07vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-5.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.28-4.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.04vs Predicted
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162.31-6.25vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.75-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.47Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.752.310.0%1st Place
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14.67Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Moran | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cole Harris | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Walden | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Matt Safford | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 22.0% |
| John Ped | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Allison DeLuca | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.