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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.30+4.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+5.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+4.60vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.65+4.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+2.64vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+1.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+4.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75-0.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.04-1.98vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-2.38vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.60-2.23vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-3.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.28-3.96vs Predicted
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152.31-5.24vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-2.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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9.762.310.0%1st Place
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13.21Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Harris | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ian Moran | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Matt Safford | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| John Ped | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Anthony Root | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 26.7% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.