← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.94+5.07vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.61+5.28vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.81+3.65vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.24+4.91vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.49+2.83vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.93+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.39+1.31vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.50-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Bates College-1.15+5.51vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.91-4.67vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.43-3.95vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.62-5.73vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.05-4.75vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.79vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.39-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.28Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.65Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.91Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.83Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.34Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.31Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.63Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
15.51Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
-
6.33Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.05Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.27Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
-
9.25University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.71Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Havig | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Brego | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 0.6% |
| Carter Goodell | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 87.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dane Pedersen | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Colin Richards | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 29.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.