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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.94+5.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.93+4.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+4.80vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.05+5.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+3.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+0.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+0.42vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.15+7.55vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.62-1.77vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.43-1.92vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-3.25vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-5.29vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-4.30vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.42vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.84vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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15.55Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Colin Brego | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 1.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Carter Goodell | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 88.5% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Claire Havig | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 29.8% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.