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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+2.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11-0.45vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+1.42vs Predicted
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4American University0.36+2.10vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.85-0.85vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.40-2.64vs Predicted
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8Auburn University1.12-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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1.55College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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4.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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6.1American University0.360.0%1st Place
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4.15Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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5.01Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 10.5% | 21.5% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 62.6% | 25.6% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 6.2% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 9.7% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 58.5% |
| Alexander Smolka | 6.1% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 6.5% |
| Carly Shevitz | 9.8% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 28.4% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.