Race 6A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Tyler Mowry 5.9% 8.1% 7.3% 7.6% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 8.5% 7.5% 6.7% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 3.0% 0.1%
Liam Ballantyne 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 3.9% 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.8% 10.2% 10.7% 15.6% 2.0%
Noah Simmons 7.3% 7.9% 6.7% 7.1% 7.7% 7.1% 8.6% 7.4% 7.3% 7.7% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Claire Havig 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.4% 5.1% 5.4% 5.3% 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 8.9% 8.4% 7.6% 9.8% 7.1% 0.9%
Robert Hunter 8.0% 9.6% 7.6% 10.1% 7.9% 9.3% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 5.5% 5.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Samuel Merson 6.7% 6.3% 8.7% 7.4% 8.5% 6.5% 7.1% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 5.9% 5.6% 3.1% 0.2%
Lucy Wilmot 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 6.0% 5.9% 6.3% 7.6% 5.8% 7.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.5% 7.0% 6.1% 4.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 2.4% 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 3.9% 5.6% 5.2% 7.6% 8.3% 13.7% 28.1% 4.1%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 6.4% 5.5% 6.2% 5.7% 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 6.8% 7.0% 5.7% 7.4% 7.9% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 0.6%
Dane Pedersen 6.4% 6.1% 5.1% 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 6.0% 8.2% 9.2% 6.9% 9.1% 6.8% 6.8% 6.1% 4.0% 0.6%
Colin Richards 5.2% 4.8% 3.5% 5.1% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 6.4% 7.1% 6.2% 8.4% 9.4% 11.0% 10.9% 0.6%
Colin Brego 10.9% 8.9% 9.8% 9.5% 8.9% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 6.8% 7.0% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Josh Dochoda 9.9% 9.8% 9.5% 9.0% 7.9% 9.9% 9.1% 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 5.2% 3.2% 3.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Alden Grimes 11.2% 9.9% 10.2% 9.1% 9.4% 8.5% 7.6% 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 4.9% 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Frank Reeg 5.0% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 6.3% 8.1% 7.8% 6.3% 4.7% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 9.2% 8.9% 6.9% 0.4%
Carter Goodell 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 4.8% 89.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.