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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+6.89vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+4.43vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.43+5.19vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+2.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+4.04vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.94+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+2.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.93-1.76vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-1.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62-2.45vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-2.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-4.43vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-1.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.74vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.28-2.58vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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6.43Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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12.42Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Colin Richards | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Colin Brego | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 25.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 30.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.