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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.94+5.40vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+6.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+4.85vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+1.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+5.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.43+1.57vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24+1.16vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.78+2.34vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05-0.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-2.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.64vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-4.61vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.93-7.27vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.62-7.20vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.28-3.00vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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13.0Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% |
| Dane Pedersen | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Claire Havig | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Colin Brego | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 27.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.