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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+5.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+8.26vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.94+3.30vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+5.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+2.99vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+6.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.43+1.39vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61-0.60vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-2.28vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.93-3.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-2.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-3.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-4.44vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.62-7.35vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.28-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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12.43Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Claire Havig | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 26.9% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Colin Brego | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Colin Richards | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.