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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+5.31vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.94+4.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+4.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+3.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+1.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+4.38vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.43+1.37vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+3.85vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24-0.09vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.93-3.57vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-2.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.04vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.28-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-4.44vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-6.48vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.62-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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12.29Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Alden Grimes | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 24.4% |
| Claire Havig | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% |
| Colin Brego | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Frank Reeg | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 29.1% |
| Colin Richards | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Noah Simmons | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.