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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.36vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+6.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.67+4.98vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.69+3.74vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.98+1.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+3.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77-0.61vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.83-1.72vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.20-4.08vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.28+1.18vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.76-4.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.33-7.72vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-7.42vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.43-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.14Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.98Boston College1.670.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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13.18Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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12.99Boston College0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Declan McGranahan | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Michael Tellini | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Charles Honke | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Braden Foster | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Francis Doyle | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Keller | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 39.1% |
| Rowan Byrne | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| John Walton | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Laura Ferraris | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 21.3% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.