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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+5.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.77+5.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+3.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.67+3.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50-0.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.76+1.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.98-0.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.55vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.83-1.67vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.28+2.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.69-3.27vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.37vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-5.88vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-7.40vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.43-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.41Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston College1.670.0%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College1.760.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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13.14Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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8.12Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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12.95Boston College0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Declan McGranahan | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Byrne | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Charles Honke | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Francis Doyle | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 38.6% |
| Michael Tellini | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Braden Foster | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Laura Ferraris | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.