Race 4B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Keller 7.8% 10.3% 8.5% 8.4% 8.9% 7.5% 7.4% 6.6% 7.4% 5.1% 7.0% 4.7% 4.9% 3.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Caelan Juckniess 5.4% 6.7% 6.2% 7.2% 4.4% 6.3% 5.5% 6.9% 7.8% 6.5% 7.5% 6.7% 7.8% 6.9% 5.3% 2.9%
Francis Doyle 6.2% 4.7% 6.6% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 10.1% 7.8% 6.2% 5.7% 3.8% 2.3%
Charlie Hibben 12.9% 11.9% 9.7% 10.1% 10.3% 8.5% 6.0% 8.8% 5.3% 5.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
Grace Vincens 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 5.8% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.9% 7.9% 7.8% 6.0% 7.7% 7.9% 6.8% 4.2% 1.6%
John Walton 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 10.0% 8.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.3% 6.6% 6.0% 5.8% 4.9% 3.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Michael Tellini 5.8% 5.3% 5.0% 6.3% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 7.1% 6.8% 6.4% 7.6% 8.1% 9.0% 8.1% 6.0% 3.2%
Rowan Byrne 5.4% 6.7% 5.8% 6.2% 5.3% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.8% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.9% 6.1% 5.4% 2.7%
Jack Valentino 0.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 5.5% 5.8% 9.8% 19.1% 37.3%
Cameron Wood 11.6% 8.7% 10.5% 9.5% 9.1% 11.0% 8.5% 8.9% 5.1% 5.6% 4.5% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Declan McGranahan 6.3% 5.6% 4.9% 4.7% 6.0% 4.6% 6.7% 5.3% 7.0% 7.2% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 6.4% 2.9%
Braden Foster 3.3% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 4.9% 4.4% 5.7% 4.6% 5.0% 6.5% 4.9% 7.6% 8.2% 12.9% 13.3% 10.4%
Ellie Maus 6.7% 7.1% 8.7% 6.5% 7.4% 7.5% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 5.3% 4.7% 5.5% 4.4% 3.9% 0.8%
Charles Honke 7.1% 6.6% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 6.2% 6.6% 6.1% 4.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Vincent Yannelli 6.3% 4.6% 4.4% 6.2% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 5.4% 7.3% 8.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.8% 5.2% 1.4%
Laura Ferraris 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0% 3.5% 2.9% 4.9% 4.8% 6.9% 10.8% 19.5% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.