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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.35vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+5.37vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+2.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.76+4.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.33+1.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.20+0.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.69+0.59vs Predicted
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9Boston College0.43+3.83vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.83-1.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.98-3.36vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.67-3.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.40vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-6.46vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.28-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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12.83Boston College0.430.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston College1.670.1%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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8.09Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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13.34Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Rowan Byrne | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| John Walton | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Michael Tellini | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Laura Ferraris | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 31.6% |
| Francis Doyle | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Charles Honke | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Declan McGranahan | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Braden Foster | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 8.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.