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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+4.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+4.82vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+4.43vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+3.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.33-0.49vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.76+0.36vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.67-0.23vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.83-1.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.98-3.30vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.28+1.18vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.69-4.33vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-8.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-4.20vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.43-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College1.760.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College1.670.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.18Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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12.98Boston College0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 11.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| John Walton | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Byrne | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Declan McGranahan | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Francis Doyle | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Charles Honke | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jack Valentino | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 40.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 13.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Braden Foster | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| Laura Ferraris | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.